Saturday, October 25, 2025

Russia stopped publicly publishing its demography data

Russia's retreat into demographic secrecy represents more than statistical manipulation—it's a symptom of an unlikey, but not impossible, state failure. By erasing its people from official view, Moscow is courting the very instability it seeks to avoid. As I've argued throughout my career studying political demography, population changes are among the most powerful forces shaping international and domestic politics. Russia's attempt to hide these changes doesn't make them disappear; it only ensures that when the demographic reckoning comes, it will be swift, severe, and destabilizing.

 

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