Ukraine, a much smaller country in population than Russia, is putting up a strong defense and making Russia significantly weaker than it already was.

Ukraine, a much smaller country in population than Russia, is putting up a strong defense and making Russia significantly weaker than it already was.

Consider:

• Kremlin Civil War After Ukrainians destroy 16 More Refineries, Video

• Putin’s MONTH From HELL… Russia’s COLOSSAL Loss of 25,000 Troops, Military Show

"Alexey Chadayev is a former adviser to Russia's parliament and an executive at a defence firm. In an interview with a Russian military blogger, he warned that Russia faced a rerun of the early Yeltsin years. "The real sector of the economy, again with the exception of those working in defence industry in one form or another, is in a very bleak situation because money has become expensive," he explained. "Devaluation is rising, costs are rising, and there is no access to affordable credit. Everyone is facing cash flow gaps, and we are seeing the return of barter deals, just like in the forgotten days of the 1990s."[1]

• Is Russia declining faster?:"Yes, Russia is declining faster in 2025 than in prior war years: economic growth has collapsed from 4.3% in 2024 to under 1%, military casualties are rising at a record pace (~1,200–1,500 daily), and demographic collapse is accelerating with births at a 200-year low and natural population loss doubling since 2023."

What is the probability that Russia will experience a financial crisis in the next 7 years? Give me scenarios and probabilities.

Summary: "Russia faces a 65% probability of a financial crisis within the next 7 years (2026–2032), driven primarily by war spending, depleting reserves, and sanctions. The most likely path (50% chance) is prolonged stagnation leading to a crisis by 2027 (85% conditional risk), while de-escalation or external aid could limit the odds to 30% or less."